Canadian prices, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose 4.4% on a year-over-year basis in September, rising at the fastest rate since 2003. On a month-over-month basis, the CPI was up 0.2% in September. The Bank of Canada's preferred measures of core inflation (which use techniques to strip out volatile elements) rose an average of 2.7% year-over-year in September. Major drivers of the year-over-year price increase included transportation prices (+9.1%), shelter (+4.8%) and food prices (+3.9%) partly on continuing supply-chain difficulties. The homeowner replacement cost index, which measures the cost of replacing home structures, rose 14.4% year-over-year in September, which was the fastest rate since the 1980s. In BC, consumer prices were up 0.15% month-over-month, and up 3.5% on a year-over-year basis. 

Inflation continues to run ahead of the Bank of Canada's 2 per cent target. The driving force behind rising prices is still isolated to a few categories of spending. In particular, the rising price of gasoline and the run-up in Canadian home prices since last year. Those categories alone accounted for about half of the observed inflation in September. Home prices in Canada are beginning to flatten out, which should mean a fading impact on inflation over the next year. Likewise, the impact of gas prices should continue to decline as base-year effects have less influence. Other issues putting upward pressure on consumer prices are being driven by bottlenecks and supply shortages. Those shortages are unlikely to resolve quickly and so we anticipate that the current elevated rate of inflation will linger for some time to come. Inflation that is lingering above target for an extended period may put some pressure on the Bank of Canada, though we still expect the first rate increase to come toward the end of 2022.

For more information, please contact: Gino Pezzani.

Link: https://mailchi.mp/bcrea/canadian-inflation-september-2021

Read full post

Canadian housing starts declined for the fourth consecutive month in September, but remain strong compared to typical pre-pandemic activity. Housing starts decreased by 11.6k to 251.2k units (-4.4% m/m) in September at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate (SAAR). Comparing year-over-year, starts were up significantly from September of 2020 (20.1% y/y). Single-detached housing starts dipped 5% in September to 76.7k, while multi-family and others declined 4% to 174.4k (SAAR). 

In British Columbia, starts declined for a third consecutive month, dropping sharply by 23.7% m/m to 35.9k units SAAR in all areas of the province. Single-detached starts rose 9.6% m/m to 7.9k units while multi-family starts offset this growth with a 32.5% decline to 23.7k units. Despite this, starts in the province remained 11% above the levels from September 2020. BC's six-month moving average for starts declined sharply following three months of gains. 



For more information, please contact: Gino Pezzani.

Link: https://mailchi.mp/bcrea/canadian-housing-starts-september-2021

Read full post

Vancouver, BC – October, 2021.  The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that a total of 9,164 residential unit sales were recorded by the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in September 2021, a decrease of 19.9 per cent from September 2020. The average MLS®residential price in BC was $913,471, a 14 per cent increase from $801,241 recorded in September 2020. Total sales dollar volume was $8.4 billion, an 8.6 per cent decline from last year.
“Home sales have settled at levels that are slightly above long-term average,” said BCREA Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson. “The main story in all markets continues to be a severe lack of listings supply, particularly in Fraser Valley, Vancouver Island and Interior markets.”

Total active residential listings were down 36.8 per cent year-over-year in September for the province as a whole and were more than more than 50 per cent below last September’s levels in the Fraser Valley and Victoria.

Year-to-date, BC residential sales dollar volume was up 81.8 per cent to $90.4 billion, compared to the same period in 2020. Residential unit sales were up 52.4 per cent to 99,182 units, while the average MLS® residential price was up 19.3 per cent to $911,195. 
 
For the complete news release, including detailed statistics, click here.
 
For more information, please contact: Gino Pezzani.
 
Read full post

Canadian employment grew for the fourth consecutive month in September, rising by 157,000 to 19.13 million (0.8%, m/m). During the survey period, several provinces had reintroduced or planned to reintroduce vaccine passports and indoor masking. Restrictions on international travelers entering the country were eased on September 7th, likely boosting tourism employment. 

The current employment level matches the figure from February 2020, meaning that the job market has technically erased the losses from the pandemic. Due to population growth, the employment rate remains 0.9 percentage points below February 2020 at 60.9%. The Canadian unemployment rate declined for a fourth consecutive month to 6.9%, the lowest level since the onset of the pandemic. 

In BC, employment grew by 12,300 to 2.682 million (0.46%, m/m), once again hitting the highest level since the pandemic began. For the fourth consecutive month, British Columbia was the sole province with employment notably above its pre-pandemic level. The unemployment rate declined by 0.3 in September to 5.9%, the lowest level since the pandemic began. BC has the third lowest unemployment rate in Canada, following Manitoba and Quebec. 


For more information, please contact: Gino Pezzani.
Link: https://mailchi.mp/bcrea/canadian-employment-september-2021

Read full post

The Canadian economy contracted 0.1 per cent in July following growth of 0.6 per cent in June.  The level of GDP remains about 2 per cent below its pre-pandemic level of February 2020.  The majority of Canadian industries actually grew in July, led by re-opening of many provincial economies which led to a strong increase in the accommodation and food services sectors. That strength was more than offset, however, by declines in agriculture, manufacturing and wholesale trade. On the bright side, Statistics Canada's preliminary estimate for August real GDP is showing a strong bounce back, with output across the economy rising 0.7 per cent on a monthly basis. 

Given today's release, we are tracking 3rd quarter real GDP growth in Canada at about 3.5 per cent. The pace of the recovery remains uncertain due to the pandemic and especially the Delta variant driven rise in cases around the country. We saw this uncertainty at play in the second quarter when the economy unexpectedly contracted and again, though to a lesser extent, in July. We anticipate that some of the expected acceleration of economic growth may now be pushed into the fourth quarter of 2021 and the first half of 2022. As a result, we have trimmed our forecast for Canadian real GDP growth from about 6 per cent in 2021 down to 5 per cent.

For more information, please contact: Gino Pezzani.

Link:  https://mailchi.mp/bcrea/canadian-monthly-gdp-growth

Read full post
Categories:   Albion, Maple Ridge Real Estate | Arbutus, Vancouver West Real Estate | August 2021 News | Bank | Blueridge NV, North Vancouver Real Estate | Brentwood Park, Burnaby North Real Estate | Brighouse South, Richmond Real Estate | Brighouse, Richmond Real Estate | British Properties, West Vancouver Real Estate | Burke Mountain, Coquitlam Real Estate | Burnaby Lake, Burnaby South Real Estate | Cambie, Vancouver West Real Estate | Canadian Employment | Canadian Inflation | Canyon Heights NV, North Vancouver Real Estate | Canyon Springs, Coquitlam Real Estate | Capitol Hill BN, Burnaby North Real Estate | Central Lonsdale, North Vancouver Real Estate | Central Park BS, Burnaby South Real Estate | Champlain Heights, Vancouver East Real Estate | Citadel PQ, Port Coquitlam Real Estate | Cloverdale BC, Cloverdale Real Estate | Coal Harbour, Vancouver West Real Estate | Collingwood VE, Vancouver East Real Estate | Coquitlam West, Coquitlam Real Estate | COVID-19 Recovery Dashboard | Delta Manor, Ladner Real Estate | Downtown NW, New Westminster Real Estate | Downtown VW, Vancouver West Real Estate | Downtown, Vancouver West Real Estate | Dunbar, Vancouver West Real Estate | Eagle Harbour, West Vancouver Real Estate | East Burnaby, Burnaby East Real Estate | East Newton, Surrey Real Estate | East Richmond, Richmond Real Estate | Fairview VW, Vancouver West Real Estate | False Creek, Vancouver West Real Estate | Forest Hills BN, Burnaby North Real Estate | Fraser VE, Vancouver East Real Estate | Fraserview NW, New Westminster Real Estate | Fraserview VE, Vancouver East Real Estate | GDP | Grandview VE, Vancouver East Real Estate | Greentree Village, Burnaby South Real Estate | Hamilton RI, Richmond Real Estate | Hamilton, Richmond Real Estate | Hastings, Vancouver East Real Estate | Highgate, Burnaby South Real Estate | House Marketing | Housing Starts | Interest Rate | Ironwood, Richmond Real Estate | July 2021 Newsletter | Killarney VE, Vancouver East Real Estate | Kitsilano, Vancouver West Real Estate | Knight, Vancouver East Real Estate | Lions Bay, West Vancouver Real Estate | Lower Lonsdale, North Vancouver Real Estate | Maillardville, Coquitlam Real Estate | Main, Vancouver East Real Estate | Meadow Brook, Coquitlam Real Estate | Metrotown, Burnaby South Real Estate | Mount Pleasant VE, Vancouver East Real Estate | Mount Pleasant VW, Vancouver West Real Estate | New Horizons, Coquitlam Real Estate | North Coquitlam, Coquitlam Real Estate | North Vancouver Real Estate | October 2021 Newsletter | Pebble Hill, Tsawwassen Real Estate | Pictures and thoughts to share | Point Grey, Vancouver West Real Estate | Quay, New Westminster Real Estate | Queen Mary Park Surrey, Surrey Real Estate | Queensborough, New Westminster Real Estate | Quilchena, Vancouver West Real Estate | Richmond Real Estate | S.W. Marine, Vancouver West Real Estate | Sapperton, New Westminster Real Estate | September 2021 News | Silver Valley, Maple Ridge Real Estate | Simon Fraser Univer., Burnaby North Real Estate | Sold listings | South Granville, Vancouver West Real Estate | South Marine, Vancouver East Real Estate | South Slope, Burnaby South Real Estate | South Surrey White Rock Real Estate | Squamish Real Estate | Steveston South, Richmond Real Estate | Sullivan Heights, Burnaby North Real Estate | The Crest, Burnaby East Real Estate | Tsawwassen Central, Tsawwassen Real Estate | University VW, Vancouver West Real Estate | Upper Eagle Ridge, Coquitlam Real Estate | Uptown NW, New Westminster Real Estate | vancouver island Real Estate | Vancouver Real Estate | Victoria VE, Vancouver East Real Estate | Victoria VE, Vancouver West Real Estate | WALL CENTRE FALSE CREEK, Vancouver West Real Estate | West End VW, Vancouver West Real Estate | Westwood Plateau, Coquitlam Real Estate | Whalley, North Surrey Real Estate | Whalley, Surrey Real Estate | Willoughby Heights, Langley Real Estate | Yale - Dogwood Valley, Vancouver West Real Estate | Yaletown, Vancouver West Real Estate | Yel | Yellow Newsletter | Yellow Newsletter August 2021 | Yellow Newsletter October 2021 | Yellow Newsletter October, 2021 | Yellow Newsletter September 2021
The data relating to real estate on this website comes in part from the MLS® Reciprocity program of either the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV), the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board (FVREB) or the Chilliwack and District Real Estate Board (CADREB). Real estate listings held by participating real estate firms are marked with the MLS® logo and detailed information about the listing includes the name of the listing agent. This representation is based in whole or part on data generated by either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB which assumes no responsibility for its accuracy. The materials contained on this page may not be reproduced without the express written consent of either the REBGV, the FVREB or the CADREB.