Canadian real GDP rose by 0.2 per cent in July, after declining by 0.1 per cent in June. Goods-producing sectors rose by 0.6 per cent, while service-producing industries increased by 0.1 per cent. Sectoral growth was led by mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction (1.4 per cent), manufacturing (0.7 per cent), and wholesale trade (0.6 per cent). The biggest detractor from growth was from retail trade (-1.0 per cent), while all goods-producing industries grew from the previous month. Output for the offices of real-estate agents and brokers rose by 3.6 per cent month-over-month. Preliminary estimates suggest that real GDP by industry was largely unchanged in August.
The Canadian economy returned to growth in July following several consecutive months of contraction. However, July’s upswing appears temporary, as August’s preliminary estimate suggests growth was flat to close out the summer. We expect the Bank of Canada to cut once more this year to address underlying weaknesses in the Canadian economy and labour market. With that being said, central bankers and economists will now focus on October’s employment and CPI reports —the last two data points for the Bank to consider before its next meeting.
For more information, please contact: Gino Pezzani.




For more information, please contact: Gino Pezzani.

The Bank of Canada lowered its overnight policy rate to 2.5 per cent this morning. In its statement, the Bank noted that US tariffs sharply impacted Canadian export levels while also hindering business investment. In spite of resilient consumer spending, GDP declined by about 1.5% in the second quarter, aligning with the Bank's most recent projection. In addition, the Canadian labour market has cooled further through the summer, with the national unemployment rate reaching 7.1 per cent, its highest level since May 2016, excluding the pandemic. Regarding inflation, the Bank noted that the upward pressure on month-over-month core inflation growth is dissipating, which, coupled with the de-escalatory behaviour from our government, reduces the overall inflationary risks associated with trade policy moving forward.
Although the tower had stood since 1889, this night marked one of the first times it was fully lit after dark, which heralded a new age of modern lighting and nighttime urban design. For those fortunate enough to witness it firsthand, the scene was unforgettable.
September has a way of making everything feel more grounded. The pace slows, routines return and even the air feels as if it’s urging us to reset. Whether you're easing out of summer travel or jumping back into a full schedule, this month’s newsletter is here to help you feel more centered.

